Macro Intelligence
Interest Rates
Policy rates, recent decisions and next meetings for the eight major central banks.
Policy rates, last two years
From each bank’s recorded decisionsLines step at each recorded decision. Banks with no change in the log are drawn flat at today’s rate.
Policy divergence
- Fed rate
- 3.75–4.00%
- ECB rate
- 2.50%
- Gap (USD − EUR)
- +1.38 pts
- Direction
- Holding vs holding
- Gap a year ago
- +1.38 pts
- Next meetings
- 2026-12-09 · 2026-12-17
AnalysisUSD pays 1.38 points more, which tends to attract money to it. Rate gaps are one driver among many, not a signal on their own.
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Interest Rates
The 8 major central banks: where rates are, which way each bank is leaning, when it meets next, and what happened the moment it decided. Interest rates move currencies more than anything else.
Rate board
Rate gaps between currencies
The difference between the two interest rates in a pair. Money tends to flow to the higher-paying currency, which is why big gaps can keep a pair trending for months (the “carry”). It is one force among many, not a signal on its own.
| Pair | Rates | Gap | Pays more |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | 3.75–4.00% vs 0.00% | +3.88 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
| AUD/JPY | 4.85% vs 1.25% | +3.60 pts | 🇦🇺 AUD |
| USD/JPY | 3.75–4.00% vs 1.25% | +2.63 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
| GBP/JPY | 3.75% vs 1.25% | +2.50 pts | 🇬🇧 GBP |
| EUR/CHF | 2.50% vs 0.00% | +2.50 pts | 🇪🇺 EUR |
| AUD/NZD | 4.85% vs 2.75% | +2.10 pts | 🇦🇺 AUD |
| EUR/USD | 2.50% vs 3.75–4.00% | −1.38 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
| USD/CAD | 3.75–4.00% vs 2.50% | +1.38 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
| EUR/GBP | 2.50% vs 3.75% | −1.25 pts | 🇬🇧 GBP |
| EUR/JPY | 2.50% vs 1.25% | +1.25 pts | 🇪🇺 EUR |
| CAD/JPY | 2.50% vs 1.25% | +1.25 pts | 🇨🇦 CAD |
| NZD/USD | 2.75% vs 3.75–4.00% | −1.13 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
| AUD/USD | 4.85% vs 3.75–4.00% | +0.97 pts | 🇦🇺 AUD |
| GBP/USD | 3.75% vs 3.75–4.00% | −0.13 pts | 🇺🇸 USD |
Next meetings
Decision log
| Date | Bank | Decision | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 🇦🇺 RBA | Raised 0.25% | 4.85% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 🇯🇵 BoJ | Hold | 1.25% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 🇪🇺 ECB | Hold | 2.50% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 🇺🇸 Fed | Hold | 3.75–4.00% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 🇨🇦 BoC | Raised 0.25% | 2.50% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 🇳🇿 RBNZ | Hold | 2.75% |
| 24 Sept 2026 | 🇨🇭 SNB | Hold | 0.00% |
| 17 Sept 2026 | 🇬🇧 BoE | Hold | 3.75% |