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Macro Intelligence

COT Report

Weekly positioning of speculators, commercials and small traders in currency, gold, oil, equity and Bitcoin futures, from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report.

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Positions held on Tue, 3 November 2026, published the following FridaySource: CFTC Commitments of Traders (legacy, futures only)
MarketSpeculators netWeek ΔCommercials netWeek ΔSmall traders netWeek ΔSpeculators, 3-year range

Euro: positioning over time

Speculators (funds)Commercials (hedgers)Small traders
+180,305-235,7792023-112025-052026-11
Speculators long / short
229,383 / 387,174
Commercials long / short
507,069 / 382,218
Open interest
876,122

ReadingSpeculators are net short 157,791 contracts and cut 13,897 this week; that is 0 on a 0–100 scale of the last three years (crowded short). Commercials, mostly hedgers, are net long, which usually runs against the trend.

What COT can tell you

Which way the big funds lean in futures, how fast they are changing it, and when positioning is near a 3-year extreme, which can mean much of the move has already happened.

What it cannot

It is weekly and published three days late, so it is not a live order book. It shows futures only, not the spot market, and commercials often hedge rather than bet on direction. Use it as context, never as an entry signal.